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08KYIV2269, NATO MAP: UKRAINE BEGINS LOWERING EXPECTATIONS FOR

November 19, 2008

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08KYIV2269 2008-11-19 16:31 2011-08-30 01:44 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Kyiv

VZCZCXYZ0001
PP RUEHWEB

DE RUEHKV #2269/01 3241631
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 191631Z NOV 08
FM AMEMBASSY KYIV
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 6749
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE
RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE

C O N F I D E N T I A L KYIV 002269 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/19/2018 
TAGS: NATO PGOV PREL UP
SUBJECT: NATO MAP: UKRAINE BEGINS LOWERING EXPECTATIONS FOR 
DECEMBER 
 
Classified By: Ambassador for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d). 
 
Summary 
-------- 
 
1. (C) The Presidential Secretariat has begun to de-emphasize 
the importance of receiving a MAP invitation at the December 
2-3 NATO Foreign Ministers' meeting in Brussels.  Deputy 
Secretariat Head Honcharuk on November 18 said failure to 
receive MAP in December would not be a "tragedy."  MFA 
contacts informed us that the concept of alternative paths to 
membership raised by Secretary Gates and others in Tallinn 
had generated interest.  Foreign Minister Ohryzko, in 
Brussels for November 18-19 meetings at NATO, would want to 
gather more information on the idea.  End Summary. 
 
Secretariat Lowering Expectations 
--------------------------------- 
 
2. (C) Deputy Presidential Secretariat Head Andriy Honcharuk 
on November 18 said that failure to receive a MAP at the 
December 2-3 Foreign Ministers' meeting in Brussels should 
not be "over-dramatized."  He added that keeping the door 
open for future membership consideration was key and that 
Ukraine would continue to "work within the framework of 
annual plans" to strengthen its cooperation with NATO. 
Ukrainian media also reported a November 18 statement by 
Ukraine's Ambassador in Moscow, Kostiantyn Hryshchenko (who 
remains First Deputy Secretary of the National Security and 
Defense Council).  Hryschchenko underscored that Ukraine 
would only be in position for NATO membership once a majority 
of its citizens supported this move -- something he admitted 
was currently not the case.  Serhiy Dzerdzh, head of the 
leading pro-NATO NGO "Civic League NATO-Ukraine," told us 
that he saw the Honcharuk and Hryshchenko statements as a 
concerted effort by the Presidential Secretariat to "lower 
the temperature" on the NATO MAP issue heading into the 
December meeting. 
 
MFA on MAP Alternatives 
----------------------- 
 
3. (C) MFA NATO Deputy Director General Vadym Prystaiko told 
us November 18 that Kyiv had taken on board the signals sent 
by Secretary Gates and others in Tallinn at the November 
12-13 NATO-Ukraine Commission High Level Consultations 
regarding paths to membership other than MAP.  Following the 
Tallinn meeting, FM Ohryzko tasked Prystaiko with drafting 
options papers, including on possible non-MAP alternatives, 
in preparation for his November 18-19 visit to Brussels to 
attend the NATO-Ukraine Commission meeting.  Prystaiko added 
that Ohryzko would also seek a meeting with SYG de Hoop 
Scheffer.  However, the FM would not pursue individual 
meetings with Allies in order not to interfere in what he 
assumed were intense internal discussions. 
 
4. (C) Prystaiko added that the MFA understood that one 
potential way forward was through using an enhanced or 
revised Annual Target Plan (ATP) in place of a MAP, an idea 
that he said had been sporadically raised in various forms in 
Brussels and Kyiv over the past year.  He said that the MFA 
understood the need to regain momentum at the December 
meeting, but noted that within the Ministry this proposal 
raised some concerns as "skeptical" Allies (Prystaiko 
mentioned Germany) might agree to the approach initially, 
only to later ask for MAP anyway.  These concerns meant that 
Ohryzko might want to explore whether retaining MAP -- with a 
negotiated lengthy time-frame before membership consideration 
-- was still possible. 
 
5. (C) MFA is continuing its outreach efforts, with Prystaiko 
and NATO Director General Osnach traveling November 26-27 to 
Vilnius and Paris respectively.  Prystaiko underlined that 
MFA leadership understood the need to engage directly with 
Allies and not channel its efforts solely through the US.  He 
noted that Ukraine would continue to rely heavily on the 
Balts to maintain communications channels with all Allies. 
 
 
Comment 
------- 
 
6. (C) Honcharuk's statement indicates that President 
Yushchenko appears, finally, to be aware of how small a 
chance Ukraine has of receiving MAP in December, and is 
lowering domestic expectations accordingly.  Ukrainian 
officials have not (or at least not yet) rejected the concept 
of alternative paths to NATO membership apart from MAP as a 
rebuff.  The Tallinn Ministerial improved chances for a 
December Foreign Ministerial in which Ukraine is reassured of 
Alliance commitment to its Euro-Atlantic integration -- with 
 
or without MAP. 
TAYLOR

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