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07KYIV3035, UKRAINE: TYMOSHENKO PM VOTE COMES DOWN TO THE WIRE

December 10, 2007

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07KYIV3035 2007-12-10 13:39 2011-08-30 01:44 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Kyiv

VZCZCXRO8000
PP RUEHLMC
DE RUEHKV #3035 3441339
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 101339Z DEC 07
FM AMEMBASSY KYIV
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4526
INFO RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE
RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE
RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORP WASHDC

C O N F I D E N T I A L KYIV 003035 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/10/2017 
TAGS: PGOV PREL UP
SUBJECT: UKRAINE: TYMOSHENKO PM VOTE COMES DOWN TO THE WIRE 
 
Classified By: PolCouns Kent Logsdon for reasons 1.4(b,d). 
 
1. (C) Summary.  The December 11 vote on Tymoshenko's 
candidacy is shaping up to be a nail-biter, with three 
members of OU-PSD reportedly now in the hospital for various 
medical problems, Regions still threatening to block the 
rostrum, and disputes over Cabinet positions straining the 
coalition.  Pora leader Vladyslav Kaskiv (OU-PSD), who 
underwent surgery this weekend, said he has requested 
doctor's permission to attend the Rada session, but 
Tymoshenko will need all 227 BYuT and OU-PSD MPs who signed 
the coalition agreement to be present for the vote, including 
the three OU-PSD MPs in the hospital, especially given OU-PSD 
MP and former NSDC Secretary Plyushch's continued reluctance 
to support her.  Moreover, BYuT MP Volynets told us late on 
December 10 that Presidential Chief of Staff Baloha had made 
a number of last minute changes to the OU-PSD slate of 
nominees for the Cabinet, which necessitated BYuT calling for 
a 9 pm meeting (Kyiv time) to discuss whether Baloha's new 
proposals are acceptable.  In a tacit acknowledgment to the 
fragility of the coalition, Tymoshenko continues to court the 
other parties in the Rada, but there is little sign that they 
are inclined to vote for her.  End summary. 
 
Factions Stake Our Their Positions 
---------------------------------- 
 
2. (C)  Rada Speaker Yatsenyuk said on a December 7 talk show 
that he plans to hold Rada leadership votes in the morning 
and the PM vote in the afternoon of December 11.  On December 
10, Yatsenyuk reminded the press that if Tymoshenko's 
nomination fails the first time, Yushchenko can nominate her 
again, although we wonder how long she will want to put 
herself out there to be rejected, which could undermine her 
public standing.  Yatsenyuk also said that if she is not 
confirmed, he will step down as Speaker.  The President met 
December 10 with Yatsenyuk to discuss nominees for Foreign 
and Defense Minister, as well as Yushchenko's presentation of 
Tymoshenko as the Prime Minister-designate in the Rada. 
Yushchenko also met with Tymoshenko, and OU-PSD leaders 
Lutsenko and Kyrylenko to discuss the course of events for 
Tuesday. 
 
3.  (SBU)  Regions MP Khara told the press on December 10 
that Tymoshenko was conducting negotiations with Lytvyn Bloc, 
as well as some members of Regions in a bid to gain more 
support for her December 11 confirmation vote.  Khara said 
that Regions' policy was not to vote for her, and in fact, 
they were currently discussing whether to blockade the 
rostrum or boycott the session if the Rada does not first 
hold votes on deputy speakers and committee leadership.  BYuT 
deputy faction leader Kornichuk confirmed to the press that 
BYuT was meeting with "the useful part" of Regions.  Lytvyn 
Bloc MP Zahrubynskiy told Ukrainska Pravda that Tymoshenko 
was scheduled to meet with his faction at 9 am on December 
11, but that the meeting was unlikely to alter the bloc's 
decision not to vote for her. 
 
4. (SBU) Regions deputy faction leader Chechetov later told 
the press that at an afternoon faction meeting on December 
10, Regions reaffirmed its decision to back Communist MP 
Martynyuk as First Deputy Speaker -- some leading OU-PSD and 
BYuT MPs have criticized the choice and said they will not 
vote for Martynyuk.  Chechetov characterized such comments as 
a sign of the coalition's undemocratic nature.  The gathered 
Regions faction also voted to make Yanukovych the new faction 
leader, replacing Raisa Bohatyreva. 
 
5. (C) Comment.  Regions' continued focus on the deputy 
speaker vote as a prerequisite for the PM vote rings a little 
false given that they are the ones who have been dragging 
their feet on nominating someone.  However, OU-PSD and BYuT 
could remove this roadblock by agreeing to Martynyuk, a 
candidate they seemingly had been willing to support a week 
ago when Yatsenyuk's candidacy was on the line. 
 
6. (U) Visit Embassy Kyiv's classified website: 
www.state.sgov.gov/p/eur/kiev. 
Taylor

Wikileaks

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